Fed, interest rate and inflation expectations

Rising inflation expectations could put Fed on shallower rate-cut path
American families are growing sharply less optimistic about the economic outlook, but the Federal Reserve may be loathe to respond aggressively to a weakening economy in light of increasing worries that the Trump administration's trade policy will boost already elevated inflation.
Fed Expected to Cut Rates Twice This Year, Starting in September
The Federal Reserve will keep interest rates steady through the first half of the year, before delivering two reductions beginning in September, according to economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.
What To Expect From The Federal Reserve's Interest Rate Decision on Wednesday
Key Takeaways The Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep its interest rate flat at Wednesday's policy meeting.Fed officials are reluctant to make any monetary policy moves while they wait to see what President Donald Trump's economic policies will be enacted and how they'll affect the economy.
Fed rate cut bets won't be cemented by soft inflation data
The Federal Reserve will likely need a lot more data, and a few more months, to clarify its growth and inflation forecasts and set the path for future rate moves as the impact of tariff and trade uncertainty continues to echo through the world's biggest economy and beyond.
SA Asks: Will the Fed cut rates next week?
The Federal Open Market Committee is expected to vote next Wednesday on whether to raise, lower or maintain interest rates at current levels amid heightened concern that a recession may be looming for the US economy.
Fed still expected to cut interest rates in 2025 despite trade war — but not until later in year
The Federal Reserve is still expected to cut interest rates this year — but not until the fall — as policymakers weigh the fallout from President Trump’s tariffs on trade partners, according to a survey released Friday.
Inflation Expectations Have Become Detached From Reality
The Fed faces challenges in cutting rates due to the uncertain impacts of tariffs and inflation expectations. Read more on ...
The backbone of the US economy flashes stagflation warnings as uncertainty spikes on tariffs and layoffs — ‘storm clouds are forming’
Other findings raised red flags: fewer business owners expect the economy to improve, sales expectations were gloomier, and ...
Stocks continue losing streak but there was a bright spot related to inflation
The bad news is Wall Street is in correction territory and consumer sentiment reflects the economic turbulence. The good news ...
U.S. Inflation Eased More Than Expected in February
Economists are bracing for intensifying price pressures and slower growth, posing a challenge for the Federal Reserve.
Trump tariffs push consumer sentiment to lowest level since 2022
President Trump’s escalating trade wars have shaken confidence in the economy among Americans across the political spectrum, ...
'Horrific Report': Economists Warn Consumer Confidence Collapse Signals Economic Trouble
The University of Michigan’s March consumer confidence survey showed a rapid decrease in consumer confidence amid ...
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When inflation and recession gang up on the economy
Erratic tariff policy poses risk of both rising prices and high unemployment, says economist Şebnem Kalemli-Özcan.
Trade war threatens to rekindle inflation that economists believe ticked lower last month
U.S. inflation may have cooled a bit last month but it could be a short reprieve as President Donald Trump’s tariffs are widely expected to keep prices elevated in the coming months ...