The addition rule for probabilities determines the chance of either mutually exclusive or overlapping events happening, using ...

Human action involves people engaging in unique events in which outcomes often are uncertain, when expertise and planning often do not give us the results we ...

AgentX transforms your ideas into executable strategies, eliminating black-box operations and making them reproducible.

Traders are betting on which words will be uttered during Nvidia's upcoming earnings call, at what price the company's stock ...

The platforms, where bets are placed on everything from U.K. soccer teams to the price of bitcoin, are getting traction from investors and attention from regulators.

A new study introduces a global probabilistic forecasting model that predicts when and where ionospheric disturbances—measured by the Rate of total electron content (TEC) Index (ROTI)—are likely to ...

Probability underpins AI, cryptography and statistics. However, as the philosopher Bertrand Russell said, “Probability is the ...

Are prediction markets more profitable than sportsbooks? Compare pricing, probability, and strategy to find where the real betting value lies.

A new report from the Federal Reserve indicates that prediction markets can be a valuable tool for researchers and policymakers in terms of providing rich, frequently updated probabilities regarding ...

New analysis explains why Prosper’s macro forecasts often signal economic shifts weeks or months before prediction ...

Ahead of the 2026 severe weather season for the U.S., the National Weather Service’s Storm Prediction Center is making changes in how it talks about and shows severe weather ...